I am an unpublished writer. To be published, a writer must send their manuscript to a publishing house. This is called an unsolicited manuscript.
Unsolicited manuscripts go on a pile called the ‘slush pile’ and it takes the publisher about 6 months to get through the pile and around to reading them (Qld Writers Centre, Publishers and Agents seminar). After 6 months you may receive a reply.
I suspect the slush pile of US and UK publishers will be even higher and take even longer, because of their greater population. So there’s little chance for Australians like me there.
If the PIRs are dropped, Australian publishing houses will not be willing to invest in emerging authors like myself.
I have already had an email from an Australian literary agent regarding my picture book manuscript (which she loved) saying that Australian publishers are ‘pulling back’ on the publication of picture books. Because of the economic situation and the threat of PIRs being lifted, they are unwilling to invest in new, unproven talent.
And I will have even less chance in the US and UK, because my work has an Australian flavour.